Micron Tumbles 4% After Hours as Chip Sector Braces for Earnings Gauntlet
Micron Technology slumped 4.3% in extended trading, dragging the semiconductor sector lower as investors question whether the AI spending boom can justify current valuations. All eyes are on this week’s bank earnings and CPI data for the next market catalyst.
Micron Technology (MU) got hammered in after-hours trading as the earnings season curtain rises, sliding more than 4% and dragging the broader chip sector with it. Investors are laser-focused on the deluge of bank and tech earnings due this week to gauge whether the AI investment frenzy can keep propping up lofty valuations.
- As of 7:30 p.m. ET on July 13, Micron (MU) was trading at $937, down 4.32% (-$42.3) from its prior close of $979.3.
- Micron hit an intraday low of $902.6, with an open of $929 and a high of $943.5.
- Morgan Stanley strategist Mike Wilson sees profit growth emerging outside of tech.
- Indian IT giants HCL, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra report this week, with markets fretting over AI's disruption of traditional IT services.
- Reuters reports that chip stocks have hit a "rocky patch" as investors weigh whether AI spending has gone too far.
- Tuesday (July 14) brings a wave of bank earnings from JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and others, alongside the June CPI print.
As the second-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, the semiconductor industry is facing a twin test from market sentiment and macroeconomic data. Micron Technology (MU) took a sharp hit in after-hours trading, falling 4.32% to $937 as of 7:30 p.m. ET on July 13, after touching an intraday low of $902.6.[Reuters] The move extends a recent slump in chip stocks, as several institutions have already warned about the sustainability of AI-linked investments.
Chip Stocks Hit a 'Rocky Patch' as the AI Spending Debate Intensifies
In a July 13 report, Reuters noted that chip stocks have been navigating a "rocky patch," with investor anxiety over excessive AI-related spending on the rise.[Reuters] The report says the market is questioning whether Big Tech's massive outlays on AI infrastructure will translate into meaningful returns. That doubt has already sparked capital outflows from some AI names, with investors starting to rotate into other sectors.
Meanwhile, India's IT services industry is feeling the AI heat. According to Daijiworld, HCL Technologies, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra are set to report quarterly results this week, with markets worried about the outlook for traditional IT services in the age of AI.[Daijiworld] The report points out that global macroeconomic uncertainty and the rapid adoption of AI are sapping clients' appetite for discretionary tech spending. This follows a weaker-than-expected quarterly revenue forecast from U.S. IT services giant Accenture, which has amplified fears of a demand slowdown.
Bank Earnings and CPI Data Take Center Stage This Week
Tuesday (July 14) is shaping up to be one of the busiest days of the earnings season. According to Business Insider, a slew of major banks will release their second-quarter results, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Wells Fargo (WFC).[Business Insider] Their reports will offer crucial clues about the health of the U.S. consumer, especially as spending remains a key driver of the economy.
CNBC further notes that the biggest market event this week is Tuesday, when the June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report drops at 8:30 a.m. ET, coinciding with JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's earnings call.[CNBC] That timing overlap means the market will digest inflation data and bank executives' economic commentary simultaneously, potentially triggering sharp volatility.
Market Rotation: From AI to Financials?
While AI chip stocks are getting sold off, the financial sector has been a standout performer lately. Citing analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Business Insider reports that bank stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by 500 to 800 basis points over the past month, with valuation discounts and fundamental momentum fueling talk of a sector rotation.[Business Insider] Analysts note that the "higher for longer" rate environment is now firmly baked into expectations, which is a tailwind for bank net interest margins.
Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. equity strategist, Mike Wilson, also chimed in with a recent note suggesting that profit growth is likely to emerge outside of tech.[Yahoo Finance] Wilson's view implies that as the AI trade gets crowded, investors may start hunting for areas with more reasonable valuations and greater earnings improvement potential.
MarketWatch's analysis adds that the stock market's rally is now more dependent on AI than on traditional commodities like oil.[MarketWatch] The report says that as earnings season kicks off, whether AI investment can remain a market focus is the key question, while oil's influence is waning.
TSMC Data Could Be a Key Gauge for AI Demand
Within the chip industry, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is set to release its June sales data, a key barometer for global AI-driven demand. According to Daijiworld, the data was delayed by Typhoon Bavi and is expected to give investors a clearer picture of the company's second-quarter performance and broader semiconductor trends.[Daijiworld] As the world's largest chip foundry, TSMC's results are often seen as a bellwether for the entire semiconductor industry.
Overall, this week's earnings and inflation data will provide critical information on the economy's health, the returns on AI investment, and potential sector rotation trends. The after-hours slide in Micron and other chip stocks shows that investors remain cautious on the eve of earnings season, waiting for more data to validate the sustainability of the AI theme.
Sources
- Reuters — Chip stocks hit rocky patch. What's next?
- Daijiworld — IT firms face AI, demand pressures as earnings season gathers pace
- Business Insider — The stock market's big next test: A wave of bank earnings
- CNBC — Here are the 3 big things we're watching in the stock market this week
- MarketWatch — The stock-market rally now hinges more on AI than oil
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, trading advice, or any guarantee of returns.