News
Trump called off a planned strike on Iran and told reporters a peace deal is "essentially done." WTI tumbled more than 2% to $87.71, and Brent fell roughly 3% to $90.38 — erasing weeks of geopolitical risk premium in a single session.
News
A weekend media blitz on US-Iran backchannel talks wiped out two weeks of geopolitical risk premium in a single holiday session. Energy stocks are on the back foot; airlines, freight, and long-duration tech are catching a tailwind.
News
U.S. equity futures rallied across the board on Memorial Day as weekend reports of a U.S.-Iran diplomatic framework sent WTI crude tumbling more than 4% — unwinding two weeks of built-up Middle East risk premium in a single holiday session.
Precious Metals
Gold hovers at $4,540 as central banks bought a net 244 tons in Q1 — PBoC has accumulated for 18 straight months — while a 4.60% ten-year yield and "higher for longer" give tactical sellers the daily edge. Knowing who's running the price right now matters more than calling the direction.
Macro
The oil price has already answered the question: WTI closed 5/18 at $103.45 with a $108.70 intraday spike as Persian Gulf energy facilities burn. Warsh confirmed 54-45, Powell stays as chair pro tempore, April CPI re-accelerates to +3.8% — and Tuesday's NSC meeting on Iran military…